Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.221425 0.264278 0.312402 0.370329 0.438041 0.514560 0.607455
2025-02-16 0.153951 0.207574 0.274664 0.364267 0.480233 0.624623 0.817312
2025-02-23 0.114506 0.169411 0.243940 0.351477 0.501431 0.701670 0.987542
2025-03-02 0.087432 0.140033 0.216546 0.334332 0.509043 0.756109 1.128680
2025-03-09 0.074865 0.128295 0.210695 0.344630 0.553755 0.863773 1.352647
2025-03-16 0.060374 0.110398 0.191977 0.331567 0.560267 0.914514 1.496686
2025-03-23 0.052924 0.102496 0.187402 0.339353 0.598895 1.016377 1.727113
2025-03-30 0.046533 0.095145 0.182341 0.345063 0.633952 1.115074 1.961077
2025-04-06 0.039900 0.086056 0.172671 0.341024 0.651268 1.185483 2.154303
2025-04-13 0.034488 0.078296 0.164125 0.337521 0.668493 1.256506 2.354062
2025-04-20 0.031526 0.074962 0.163426 0.348425 0.712752 1.378168 2.652098
2025-04-27 0.030900 0.076485 0.172487 0.379291 0.797584 1.579750 3.109738
2025-05-04 0.028304 0.073391 0.172078 0.392020 0.850645 1.731439 3.496765
2025-05-11 0.024623 0.067118 0.164048 0.388030 0.870377 1.823142 3.782035
2025-05-18 0.020837 0.059790 0.152466 0.374629 0.868886 1.873155 3.991314
2025-05-25 0.017358 0.052469 0.139639 0.356451 0.854725 1.895961 4.148219
2025-06-01 0.016036 0.050609 0.139501 0.367377 0.905116 2.054679 4.592479
2025-06-08 0.013615 0.045154 0.129565 0.353519 0.898083 2.092497 4.790451
2025-06-15 0.012545 0.043380 0.128732 0.361779 0.942742 2.244335 5.240486
2025-06-22 0.011492 0.041434 0.127127 0.367837 0.982789 2.389509 5.688032
2025-06-29 0.010168 0.038329 0.121837 0.363552 0.997207 2.478695 6.020276
2025-07-06 0.009029 0.035560 0.117025 0.359836 1.012522 2.571100 6.367092
2025-07-13 0.008491 0.034729 0.117736 0.371403 1.067952 2.761302 6.950977